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Reader Behavioural Change & Innovation
Research Interests
My research interest focuses on capturing the impacts of policy change and farmer behaviour at the farm and catchment level within a modelling framework.
Work has been conducted on a variety of topics within this area, particularly in terms of understanding attitudes, motivations and perceptions of farmers toward water pollution issues.
Whereas some of this work encompasses qualitative methods, such as citizen's juries, the main thrust has been towards quantitative modelling. This includes traditional linear programming based methods, but also applications using positive mathematical programming and agent-based modelling frameworks. A further research interest lies in measuring and adjusting productivity indicators for non-economic factors, such as animal welfare and environmental impact.
In addition to this, I have conducted a number of evaluations for Government agencies. These include the public funding of genetic agricultural R&D, business as usual projections for forecasting agriculture, food chain productivity and changes to the Nitrate Vulnerable Zone action plans within Scotland.
Selected Research Projects
- Rerad(2011): The productivity of Scottish agriculture
- Defra(2009): A report on agricultural efficiency at the farm level in the UK and EU Member States 2002 - 2008/09; country and farm type comparisons
- Defra(2008): Mitigation of Environmental Impacts of Out-Wintering Beef and Dairy Cattle Sacrifice Areas
- Rerad(2008): Ex-Post Evalution of the Scottish Rural Development Plan, 2000-2006
- Rerad(2008): Evaluation of the Scottish Beef Calf Scheme (Article 69)
- Defra (2008): Effects Of Partial Decoupling In The EU On The Agricultural Single Market
- Defra (2007): BAU III: Future Scenarios for Forecasting Agriculture (with ADAS)
- Defra: The rationale for Defra investment in R&D underpinning the genetic improvement of crops and animals
- Scottish Government: Assessing Farmer Attitudes towards Nitrate Vulnerable Zones in Scotland
- Defra: Study on Food Chain Productivity Incorporating External Impacts
- Scottish Government: An Assessment of the Economic, Social and Animal Welfare Issues of Organic versus Conventional Dairying using a Citizen's Jury Methodology
- Defra: The Scope for Regulation in the Efficiency of Resource Use
- Scottish Government: Benchmarking Multi-Functionality within Scottish Farming
Selected Publications
- Guillem, E.E., Barnes, A.P., Rounsevell, A.P. and Renwick, A. (2012).Refining perception-based farmer typologies with the analysis of past land use change. Journal of Environmental Management (forthcoming)
- Barnes, A.P. and Toma, L. (2012). A typology of dairy farmer perceptions towards climate change. Climatic Change (forthcoming)
- Barnes, A.P., Willock, J., Toma, L. and Hall, C (2011). Utilising a farmer typology to understand farmer behaviour towards water quality management: Nitrate Vulnerable Zones in Scotland. Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, 54(4) 477-482
- Barnes, A.P., Rutherford, K.M.D., Langford, F.M. and Haskell, M.J. (2011). The impact of lameness prevalence on dairy farm level technical efficiency: An adjusted data envelopment analysis approach, Journal of Dairy Science, Vol. 94, Issue 11, 5449-5457
- Guillem E.E., Murray-Rust D., Robinson D.T., Barnes A.P., Rounsevell MDA( 2011). The effects of farmers perceptions and objectives on land use change and ecosystem services: The case of a Scottish arable catchment. Landscape Ecology and Ecosystem Services C-Young et al. eds
- Sutherland, L-A., Barnes, A.P., McCrum, G., Blackstock, K. and Toma, L. (2011). Towards a cross-sectoral analysis of land use decision-making: Evidence from Scotland. Landscape and Urban Planning 100 (2011) 1–10
- MacLeod, M, Moran, D, Eory, V., Rees, R.M, Barnes, A., Topp, C.F.E., Ball, B., Hoad, S., Wall, E., McVittie, A., Pajot, G., Matthews, R., Smith, P. and Moxey, A. 2010. Developing greenhouse gas marginal abatement cost curves for agricultural emissions from crops and soils in the UK. Agricultural Systems 103: 198-209
- Moran, D., Macleod, M., Wall, E., Eory V., McVittie, A., Barnes, A., Rees, R., Topp, C.F.E., Moxey, A. (2010). Marginal abatement cost curves for UK agricultural greenhouse gas emissions. Journal of Agricultural Economics 62: 93-118
- Moran, D., MacLeod, M., Wall, E., Eory, V., McVittie, A., Barnes, A., Rees, R.M., Topp, C.F.E., Pajot, G., Matthews, R., Smith, P., Moxey, A. (2010). Developing carbon budgets for UK agriculture, land-use, land-use change and forestry out to 2022 . Climatic Change DOI 10.1007/s10584-010-9898-2
- Evans, N., Butterworth, M., Barnes, A.P., Moran, D. Fitt, B (2010). The impact of climate change on disease constraints on production of oilseed rape. Journal of Food Security 2 (2), 143-156
- Butterworth, M., Semenov, M., Barnes, A.P., Moran, D. Fitt, B. (2010). North-South Divide: Contrasting Impacts of Crop Disease in Scotland and England. Journal of the Royal Society: Interface 7, 123-130.
- Barnes, A.P., Wrerford, A., Butterworth, M., Seminov, M., Moran, D. Evans, N. and Fitt, B.D.L. (2010). Adaptation to increasing severity of phoma stem canker on winter oilseed rape in the UK under climate change. Journal of Agricultural Science (forthcoming).
- Barnes, A.P., Willock, J. Hall, C. and Toma, L. (2009). Farmer perspectives and practices regarding water pollution control programmes in Scotland. Agricultural Water Management, 96, pp. 1715-1722.
- Toma, L., Barnes, A.P. and Renwick, A. (2009). The trade and environmental impacts of the abolition of milk qoutas in Scotland. Annals of Applied Biology 93, Integrated Agricultural Systems: Methodologies, Modelling and Measuring, pp. 81 – 83.
- Macleod, M., Moran, D., Barnes, A.P. et. al. (2009). Moving from reactive to proactive modelling of greenhouse gas mitigation. Annals of Applied Biology 93, Integrated Agricultural Systems: Methodologies, Modelling and Measuring, pp. 31-37.
- Butterworth, M., Semenov, M., Barnes, A. P., Moran, D., West, J. and Fitt, B. (2009) North-south divide; contrasting impacts of climate change on crop yields in Scotland and England. Journal of the Royal Society Interface, May.
- Barnes, A. and D. Moran, K. Topp (2009) The Scope for Regulatory Incentives to Encourage Increased Efficiency of Input Use by Farmers, Journal of Environmental Management Volume 90, Issue 2; 808 - 814. Full Text
- Barnes, A.P., Vergunst, P., and Topp, C.F.E. (2009). Assessing the Consumer Perception of the Term ‘Organic’: A Citizens' Jury Approach. British Food Journal 111 (2), 155-164. Full Text
- Butterworth, M., Semenov, M., Barnes, A. P., Moran, D., West, J. and Fitt, B. (2009) North-south divide; contrasting impacts of climate change on crop yields in Scotland and England. Journal of the Royal Society Interface, May. Full Text
- Barnes, A.P., Willock, J. Hall, C. and Toma, L. (2009). Farmer perspectives and practices regarding water pollution control programmes in Scotland. Agricultural Water Management, 96, pp. 1715-1722. Full Text
- Barnes, A.P. (2008). Technical Efficiency Estimates for Scottish Agriculture: A Note. Journal of Agricultural Economics, Volume 59.2 , June. Full Text

